Leasing activity surged this quarter to over 360,000 square feet, a 45% increase from the first quarter of this year, with renewals representing 57% of executed transactions.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act includes multiple NAR-championed provisions designed to support homeownership, drive investment in housing supply, and strengthen the real estate economy.
Real estate does not thrive in uncertainty. It thrives in predictability. Buyers want to know what the future holds for taxes, schools, infrastructure, interest rates and public safety.
NAR forecasts mortgage rates will average 6.4% in 2025 and 6.1% in 2026.
WASHINGTON—Pending home sales improved 2.0% in February, the National Association of Realtors reported on March 27. The Northeast and West experienced month-over-month losses in transactions—with a larger decrease in the West—while the Midwest and South saw gains, which were greatest in the South. Year-over-year, contract signings dropped in all four U.S. regions, with the Midwest undergoing the greatest reduction.
The Pending Home Sales Index grew 2.0% to 72.0 in February. Year-over-year, pending transactions declined 3.6%. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001.
“Despite the modest monthly increase, contract signings remain well below normal historical levels,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “A meaningful decline in mortgage rates would help both demand and supply—demand by boosting affordability, and supply by lessening the power of the mortgage rate lock-in effect.”
“Considering the Federal Reserve's recent forecast for slower economic growth, we expect mortgage rates to slide moderately lower,” said Yun. “But the current high national debt will prevent mortgage rates from falling drastically—and certainly not to the 4%-to-5% range seen during President Trump's first term.”
NAR forecasts mortgage rates will average 6.4% in 2025 and 6.1% in 2026. The association expects existing-home sales will rise by 6% in 2025 and accelerate another 11% in 2026. The new-home sales market has plentiful inventory and, therefore, NAR anticipates it will rise by 10% in 2025 and another 5% in 2026. It predicts that the national median home price will increase by 3% in 2025 and 4% in 2026.
“Home price growth will moderate due to more supply coming onto the market,” added Yun. “Having income and wages rise faster than home prices are welcome to improve affordability.”
The Northeast PHSI fell 0.9% from last month to 62.8, down 2.5% from February 2024. The Midwest index inched up 0.7% to 73.3 in February, down 4.7% from the previous year.
The South PHSI jumped 6.2% to 86.0 in February, down 3.4% from a year ago. The West index contracted by 3.0% from the prior month to 55.9, down 3.5% from February 2024.
Leasing activity surged this quarter to over 360,000 square feet, a 45% increase from the first quarter of this year, with renewals representing 57% of executed transactions.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act includes multiple NAR-championed provisions designed to support homeownership, drive investment in housing supply, and strengthen the real estate economy.
The report noted that in Westchester County, the luxury segment remains particularly strong, with significant buyer activity in the $2-million-and-above category.
Legislative decisions at every level of government impact how we do business, safeguard private property rights, and help our clients achieve the dream of homeownership.
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