NAR: Northeast Existing-Home Sales Spiked by 8.5% in November; Prices Rose Nearly 10%
“Home sales momentum is building,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.
NEW YORK—The retail sector, one of New York City’s biggest employers, is having an uneven recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, with “non-essential” retailers struggling but online sellers booming, according to a report released on Dec. 14 by New York State Comptroller Thomas P. DiNapoli.
“2020 was a bleak year for brick and mortar retailers, and the holiday season’s tepid start as infection rates rise may push many to insolvency,” DiNapoli said. “Stores do not have the usual crowds this holiday season and many people are buying online, if they have enough money to buy at all. New York City is one of the world’s premier shopping destinations and retailers are a vital part of its economy. Federal stimulus funding directly to consumers, as well as state and city support, is needed to help these stores survive into next year and beyond.”
In 2019, the city’s retail sector had 32,600 businesses that provided 344,600 jobs, paid $16 billion in total wages citywide, and contributed $55 billion in taxable sales to the city’s economy, according to DiNapoli’s report. About 44% of all retail workers who lived in the city were immigrants. Including both immigrants and native-born residents, Hispanic and Latino people made up the largest share of the city’s retail workforce (31%), followed by White (25%), Black and African American (22%) and Asian (19%).
Manhattan had the largest retail employment among the boroughs, with nearly 157,000 retail jobs in 2019. This represented nearly half (46%) of all retail employment citywide. Brooklyn was second with 77,200 retail jobs, followed by Queens with 63,200 jobs, the Bronx with 31,000 jobs and Staten Island with 16,200 jobs.
Retail establishments made up 20.5% of businesses in the Bronx, and accounted for 15.5% of employment in Staten Island. These were the highest shares among the five boroughs, and much higher than national averages.
The Chelsea/Clinton/Midtown Manhattan Business District had the largest concentration of retail jobs among the city’s 55 Census-defined neighborhoods, with more than 68,000 retail jobs in 2019.4 Nearly one in five retail jobs citywide, or 19.7% of all retail employment, was located in this area. The Battery Park City/Greenwich Village/Soho neighborhood had the second-largest concentration, with nearly 30,000 retail jobs or 8.6% of the citywide total. Together these two neighborhoods accounted for nearly 30% of all retail employment citywide.
Still, while the bulk of employment is in Manhattan, local reliance on retail jobs is evident in the share of employment among other neighborhoods across the city. Retail employment accounted for 6.6% of total employment in the top two retail neighborhoods in Manhattan in 2019.
However, nearly 80% of all other city neighborhoods employed a higher share than the citywide average (8.8%). In five neighborhoods (all in the Bronx, Queens and Brooklyn), retail jobs made up more than 20% of neighborhood employment in 2019.
By March 22, when New York’s statewide stay-at-home order went into effect, the city essentially shut down, causing the closure of many retail establishments, including clothing, general merchandise, and furniture stores. By April, retail sector employment had dropped to 245,000 positions.
In Manhattan, foot traffic in key corridors initially fell by more than 90% at the onset of the pandemic and is still less than half of its 2019 levels in some commercial corridors. The borough had nearly half of all retail jobs in 2019, and these paid an average salary of $59,400, above the citywide average of $46,600.
DiNapoli’s report found that by August 2020, employment in essential stores, such as groceries and pharmacies, had returned to pre-pandemic levels. While online retailers and some essential businesses have experienced growth since the beginning of the pandemic, others have struggled. In most retail subsectors, such as clothing and clothing accessories stores, employment as of October remains below levels from a year earlier.
As the city reopened and progressed from Phase 1 at the beginning of June to Phase 4 at the end of July, employment grew, reaching nearly 309,000 positions by October. Although employment at clothing and clothing accessories stores increased to 41,600 jobs in October from a low of 29,000 in May, DiNapoli noted it was still nearly 40% below the level of a year earlier. Taxable sales in retail trade declined by nearly one-third from March to May 2020 compared to one year earlier, with all sectors posting declines except online retailers.
Retail firms in New York State have relied primarily on federal assistance to shore up their businesses. Retail firms sought assistance mainly from the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP), Economic Injury Disaster Loans (EIDLs) and the Small Business Administration’s Loan Forgiveness programs, while non-retail businesses sought relief from these as well as other federal programs and commercial banks.
More than half (52%) of the city’s retailers were approved for PPP loans. The number of retail jobs reported by them accounted for 38% of all retail sector jobs. Loans to food and beverage stores, health and personal care stores, and clothing and clothing accessories stores accounted for 57% of all retail sector loans and 62% of all retail sector jobs reported.
The report said that extensions of these or other similar programs can help to pay for labor and other expenses, while other programs for individuals may support spending, aiding retailer revenues and taxable sales. More direct federal funds to state and local governments would also provide resources for more alternative assistance programs at the local level, where additional support may be difficult given widespread difficulty balancing budgets at this time.
DiNapoli’s report noted that brick-and-mortar retailers, already concerned with rent costs, are now experiencing more acute need from the lack of revenues that used to come from their physical stores. The state and city governments have been called upon by business owners, landlords and some legislators to enact rent relief. Any such programs would need to be weighed against their budgetary impact and could be facilitated with federal funding, the report stated.
Receive original business news about real estate and the REALTORS® who serve the lower Hudson Valley, delivered straight to your inbox. No credit card required.